STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

1000PEPEUSDTTrend following

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Follows changes in the prevailing price trend.

Long1000pepeusdt-44f8893c4b

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)166.63%
NET RETURN2,858.19%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN51.10%
BTC BUY & HOLD187.39%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Long
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Fixed percentage
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2023-05-03
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
200
Profitable trades
12.00%
Best calendar month
199.12%
Worst calendar month
-13.82%
Longest daily underwater spell
520 days
Daily return volatility
4.58%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC2023————-5.3%43.2%-4.7%-1.5%17.3%54.7%-12.0%-12.0%2024-5.5%110.0%199.1%13.3%-8.6%-10.2%15.4%-1.8%26.9%-11.0%129.0%-2.5%2025-1.4%-5.5%1.8%-11.8%44.2%-1.1%-6.7%-7.0%-8.6%-4.4%-7.0%-8.6%202646.4%10.2%-6.0%-13.8%0.0%-4.3%-3.6%33.3%-8.7%-7.0%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
202378.74%47.78%
20241,477.86%121.29%
2025-23.05%-6.33%
202636.32%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.