STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

ARBUSDTTrend pullback

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Trades pullbacks within an established price trend.

Shortarbusdt-083e0f490e

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)89.95%
NET RETURN885.32%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN28.06%
BTC BUY & HOLD199.80%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Short
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Trailing volatility-based
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2023-03-23
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
107
Profitable trades
44.86%
Best calendar month
53.28%
Worst calendar month
-13.12%
Longest daily underwater spell
214 days
Daily return volatility
2.79%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC2023——0.0%-3.1%8.2%14.3%-2.2%18.7%0.1%-2.5%0.7%-1.9%20240.0%-4.1%-1.5%53.3%-5.6%32.8%13.1%29.9%-13.1%-6.0%5.8%5.8%2025-3.8%25.3%9.4%-5.2%0.0%7.7%-2.2%-5.1%13.4%46.0%23.6%6.1%202612.2%-2.0%-6.5%-8.8%1.6%28.2%-6.9%-2.3%0.0%0.0%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
202334.06%54.17%
2024143.98%121.29%
2025171.43%-6.33%
202610.99%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.