STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

BTCUSDTTrend pullback

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Trades pullbacks within an established price trend.

Longbtcusdt-3285e84f7a

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)31.24%
NET RETURN267.65%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN26.50%
BTC BUY & HOLD77.84%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Long
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Volatility-based
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2022-01-01
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
79
Profitable trades
32.91%
Best calendar month
38.07%
Worst calendar month
-10.12%
Longest daily underwater spell
300 days
Daily return volatility
1.45%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC20220.0%-5.1%11.0%-1.8%0.0%-1.5%-1.6%-8.0%0.0%3.4%-1.8%-3.7%202336.9%-6.5%14.3%2.2%-5.0%14.9%-4.0%-0.3%-0.8%19.2%-1.5%4.9%20241.6%38.1%3.0%-10.1%-2.4%0.5%0.1%-2.2%6.3%10.2%17.9%-2.0%2025-8.1%0.0%-2.7%11.1%11.8%-2.6%3.0%0.4%1.5%-6.3%0.0%0.0%2026-3.0%0.0%-1.0%9.1%0.3%0.0%-6.6%19.7%1.2%-0.0%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
2022-9.84%-64.22%
202390.82%155.62%
202468.74%121.29%
20256.52%-6.33%
202618.89%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.