STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

BTCUSDTTrend pullback

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Trades pullbacks within an established price trend.

Longbtcusdt-76d4cb4f86

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)26.01%
NET RETURN202.59%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN25.28%
BTC BUY & HOLD77.84%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Long
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Fixed percentage
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2022-01-01
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
69
Profitable trades
31.88%
Best calendar month
38.11%
Worst calendar month
-8.09%
Longest daily underwater spell
295 days
Daily return volatility
1.36%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC20220.0%-5.0%11.1%-1.8%0.0%0.0%2.8%-8.1%0.0%-3.7%-1.8%-3.6%202335.8%-6.4%14.2%0.8%-4.2%13.9%-3.4%0.0%-0.8%17.0%-1.5%3.6%2024-2.6%38.1%4.3%-6.2%-1.8%-0.2%-4.5%0.0%6.8%-0.5%19.3%0.7%2025-2.3%0.0%-2.7%11.2%11.8%-0.3%3.6%-0.2%1.5%-3.4%0.0%-3.4%20261.3%0.0%-3.0%9.1%3.2%0.0%-7.1%-1.4%0.8%-0.0%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
2022-10.66%-64.22%
202382.52%155.62%
202457.24%121.29%
202515.46%-6.33%
20262.21%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.