STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

BTCUSDTTrend pullback

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Trades pullbacks within an established price trend.

Longbtcusdt-e226e60fd9

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)32.42%
NET RETURN283.74%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN22.23%
BTC BUY & HOLD77.84%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution simulation.

Strategy profile

Direction
Long
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Volatility-based
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss / time limit
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2022-01-01
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
110
Profitable trades
33.64%
Best calendar month
36.48%
Worst calendar month
-10.91%
Longest daily underwater spell
287 days
Daily return volatility
1.39%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC20220.0%-6.0%15.0%-3.7%0.0%-2.0%-1.6%-10.0%0.0%3.4%3.6%-3.8%202336.5%-8.9%12.2%-6.5%-4.9%14.9%-3.4%-0.9%-0.8%19.0%3.6%9.8%20241.6%32.7%4.0%-10.9%-2.4%0.5%2.2%-3.4%7.7%10.8%20.6%5.0%2025-9.7%0.0%-2.4%11.4%7.0%-2.3%6.9%0.4%1.5%-6.6%0.0%0.0%2026-1.2%0.0%-1.0%8.6%0.5%0.0%-9.7%19.3%2.3%0.4%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
2022-7.10%-64.22%
202383.06%155.62%
202482.82%121.29%
20254.50%-6.33%
202618.11%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

Historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics use the saved backtest. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.