STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

DOTUSDTTrend pullback

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Trades pullbacks within an established price trend.

Shortdotusdt-72bcc144a6

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)59.41%
NET RETURN832.81%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN29.74%
BTC BUY & HOLD77.84%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Short
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Trailing volatility-based
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2022-01-01
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
224
Profitable trades
43.30%
Best calendar month
74.98%
Worst calendar month
-9.95%
Longest daily underwater spell
397 days
Daily return volatility
2.29%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC202218.1%0.9%-9.2%8.9%-3.9%8.4%-6.4%-4.7%-0.8%1.1%5.2%18.7%2023-1.8%-3.6%0.0%-5.1%4.7%16.1%-0.8%3.2%-2.0%4.8%0.0%0.0%2024-1.7%-5.5%-7.0%34.6%2.4%-0.3%-2.8%-5.7%3.3%0.9%3.3%29.1%202517.4%17.3%-9.9%1.6%2.1%8.0%-1.0%-3.3%-3.0%75.0%5.7%28.6%202616.3%6.7%0.0%-4.9%-6.0%9.6%1.3%3.7%0.0%0.0%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
202237.23%-64.22%
202314.75%155.62%
202451.15%121.29%
2025206.78%-6.33%
202627.75%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.