STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

ETHFIUSDTMomentum reversal

TradingView ↗

Trades changes in price momentum after exhaustion.

Shortethfiusdt-7e69a01676

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)106.55%
NET RETURN548.52%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN30.00%
BTC BUY & HOLD23.13%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Short
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Fixed percentage
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss / take profit
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2024-03-18
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
485
Profitable trades
59.18%
Best calendar month
35.52%
Worst calendar month
-17.43%
Longest daily underwater spell
124 days
Daily return volatility
2.39%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC2024——-8.3%3.7%35.5%30.3%12.8%2.9%0.6%-1.4%-3.8%19.0%202519.3%15.5%3.2%15.5%25.1%13.5%1.7%-15.2%14.0%3.0%11.4%1.4%20263.9%-1.2%-8.3%-3.5%15.6%22.7%-2.4%-17.4%4.7%0.9%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
2024121.45%40.12%
2025166.68%-6.33%
20269.81%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.