STRATEGIES
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ETHFIUSDTMean reversion

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Trades price exhaustion and subsequent mean reversion.

Shortethfiusdt-814fd7b828

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)86.30%
NET RETURN397.08%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN26.82%
BTC BUY & HOLD23.13%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Short
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Volatility-based
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss / take profit
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2024-03-18
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
173
Profitable trades
51.45%
Best calendar month
37.93%
Worst calendar month
-19.64%
Longest daily underwater spell
137 days
Daily return volatility
2.41%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC2024——0.0%1.1%-3.0%13.6%-12.8%13.3%5.3%-12.5%-4.2%9.9%202523.6%34.0%7.2%16.9%-3.9%1.4%-1.6%11.5%-9.6%25.3%20.0%37.9%2026-0.4%19.1%-19.6%10.9%-8.6%22.6%-4.0%1.3%0.0%-2.9%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
20246.60%40.12%
2025316.44%-6.33%
202611.98%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.