STRATEGIES
โ† STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

FILUSDTMean reversion

TW

Trades price exhaustion and subsequent mean reversion.

Shortfilusdt-5f592a92b2

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)56.22%
NET RETURN746.70%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN49.85%
BTC BUY & HOLD77.84%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution simulation.

Strategy profile

Direction
Short
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Volatility-based
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss / take profit
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2022-01-01
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
644
Profitable trades
31.06%
Best calendar month
82.14%
Worst calendar month
-31.74%
Longest daily underwater spell
373 days
Daily return volatility
3.39%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC202218.3%17.3%22.3%25.3%47.1%12.6%-15.6%15.1%-4.2%8.4%4.6%17.7%2023-17.5%-13.8%21.1%-9.9%18.9%0.4%2.2%16.7%-7.0%-5.1%-13.0%-31.7%202446.2%-26.3%11.6%17.9%9.6%9.7%-20.2%20.8%6.4%2.4%-23.6%-1.1%20255.6%17.2%-11.4%3.0%1.3%12.3%4.2%-1.7%-14.2%-15.3%82.1%10.2%20264.2%15.8%3.9%-14.1%8.6%14.3%5.7%17.5%-17.7%-5.8%โ€”โ€”

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
2022337.27%-64.22%
2023-42.13%155.62%
202435.28%121.29%
202592.04%-6.33%
202628.80%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

Historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics use the saved backtest. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.