STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

RUNEUSDTTrend following

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Follows changes in the prevailing price trend.

Longruneusdt-71b7f1bcb3

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)86.01%
NET RETURN1,852.73%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN46.43%
BTC BUY & HOLD77.84%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Long
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Fixed percentage
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2022-01-01
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
151
Profitable trades
17.22%
Best calendar month
99.82%
Worst calendar month
-10.18%
Longest daily underwater spell
503 days
Daily return volatility
2.60%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC2022-3.2%2.0%42.6%-3.7%-3.5%-3.6%-4.7%-2.4%-2.5%3.6%-10.2%-3.5%2023-3.7%-3.7%-4.8%0.0%-3.6%6.0%-1.1%77.9%19.4%67.9%99.8%-2.4%2024-3.4%13.7%40.9%-2.3%1.4%-1.2%15.0%15.6%-0.5%0.9%-6.1%-1.1%2025-2.5%-2.3%-2.3%14.8%25.0%-3.7%-2.7%3.5%-2.4%-2.5%-2.3%-3.7%20267.2%-3.6%-3.7%-3.7%-1.3%-3.4%4.5%7.1%51.0%-8.7%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
20222.77%-64.22%
2023520.19%155.62%
202487.48%121.29%
202515.93%-6.33%
202640.96%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.