STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

SEIUSDTTrend following

TradingView ↗

Follows changes in the prevailing price trend.

Shortseiusdt-d94b3ada5e

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)104.32%
NET RETURN861.18%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN35.10%
BTC BUY & HOLD181.17%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Short
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Trailing volatility-based
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2023-08-16
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
238
Profitable trades
42.86%
Best calendar month
51.14%
Worst calendar month
-13.79%
Longest daily underwater spell
166 days
Daily return volatility
2.60%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC2023———————8.9%2.0%4.8%-0.0%14.2%2024-3.3%-5.4%4.6%-0.8%12.1%14.0%14.8%-3.5%-6.7%10.3%-2.6%41.6%202510.7%26.1%16.8%-5.7%18.3%15.6%-3.6%-5.9%18.6%51.1%5.5%0.1%202613.3%6.8%9.3%-3.1%-4.0%-13.8%-3.1%-10.1%3.9%9.2%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
202332.88%44.59%
202490.81%121.29%
2025261.31%-6.33%
20264.93%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.