STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

SEIUSDTTrend following

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Follows changes in the prevailing price trend.

Shortseiusdt-f671d2331c

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)95.73%
NET RETURN738.88%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN25.26%
BTC BUY & HOLD181.17%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Short
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Trailing volatility-based
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2023-08-16
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
61
Profitable trades
44.26%
Best calendar month
61.10%
Worst calendar month
-12.56%
Longest daily underwater spell
175 days
Daily return volatility
2.60%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC2023———————0.0%-4.7%13.2%-2.7%0.0%20240.0%-3.8%0.8%25.8%-4.5%14.2%7.1%4.2%-6.0%3.5%2.9%0.0%202514.3%28.6%21.9%7.5%0.0%6.2%0.0%3.4%-6.1%61.1%19.0%8.2%2026-1.8%8.1%18.6%-12.6%-8.2%19.7%8.3%-0.4%0.0%0.0%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
20234.99%44.59%
202448.46%121.29%
2025312.50%-6.33%
202630.47%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.