STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

WLDUSDTEMA trend following

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Shorts bearish EMA transitions with volatility and trend-separation filters. Positions exit on a bullish crossover or protective orders.

ActiveShortwldusdt-7c32a8ee40

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)69.85%
NET RETURN453.28%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN12.68%
BTC BUY & HOLD179.97%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Short
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Volatility-based
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss / take profit
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2023-07-24
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
125
Profitable trades
48.00%
Best calendar month
21.17%
Worst calendar month
-6.45%
Longest daily underwater spell
157 days
Daily return volatility
1.05%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC2023——————-1.9%14.0%7.9%2.6%-0.0%-6.5%20249.8%0.0%0.0%10.5%0.5%11.5%11.4%13.1%-2.9%10.5%3.2%21.2%2025-0.8%13.9%0.4%7.0%2.7%11.9%3.5%1.0%3.7%0.8%7.9%3.3%20265.7%-5.6%5.3%-2.4%0.4%0.0%3.3%2.7%-1.0%13.0%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
202315.78%43.97%
2024129.82%121.29%
202570.02%-6.33%
202622.30%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.