STRATEGIES
← STRATEGY REGISTRYHistorical backtest

XRPUSDTMomentum reversal

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Trades changes in price momentum after exhaustion.

Shortxrpusdt-3eaf9c3079

Data updated:

ANNUAL RETURN (CAGR)39.43%
NET RETURN391.15%
MAX MARK DRAWDOWN51.70%
BTC BUY & HOLD77.84%

Cumulative return

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Strategy versus BTC spot buy-and-hold cumulative return, percent

Drawdown

StrategyBTC spot buy-and-hold
Daily strategy and BTC drawdown, percent

Daily observations. Headline Max Mark DD uses the full native-resolution PRO replay.

Strategy profile

Direction
Short
BTC filter
No
Protective stop
Volatility-based
Signal exit
Yes
Exit rules
Signal / stop loss / take profit
Position sizing
Notional allocation
Backtest start
2022-01-01
Backtest end
2026-10-16 (exclusive)
Closed positions
112
Profitable trades
54.46%
Best calendar month
51.05%
Worst calendar month
-43.96%
Longest daily underwater spell
474 days
Daily return volatility
2.03%

Monthly returns / %

YEARJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC20220.0%-6.5%-0.8%8.6%-0.7%21.4%5.2%8.4%-14.6%1.4%8.7%14.9%2023-2.8%5.9%-21.5%7.9%-10.5%32.4%2.7%0.0%5.7%-7.7%2.7%-4.5%202417.4%2.9%22.6%27.1%-3.7%14.6%-3.5%14.4%-10.0%0.0%-44.0%51.1%2025-6.1%11.0%-7.9%-4.9%0.8%20.8%-6.6%8.9%1.9%2.8%15.0%4.4%20264.0%3.4%-8.2%-5.0%3.5%9.5%5.0%-3.7%17.8%2.5%——

Calendar-year performance

PeriodStrategyBTC hold
202249.93%-64.22%
20231.64%155.62%
202474.71%121.29%
202542.12%-6.33%
202629.81%-6.18%

First and last periods may be partial. Returns are not annualized.

Reading this report

Both curves begin at zero percent on the same effective start date. BTC is a spot buy-and-hold benchmark.

Profitable trades counts fully closed positions after costs and funding. It is not the percentage of positive days.

Different start dates describe different market histories; compare periods before comparing rankings.

Methodology & limitations

PRO pro-fast historical simulation. Closed-bar signals and next-open execution; fees, slippage and historical funding included. BTC spot benchmark includes entry costs and no perpetual funding. Account value is compounded continuously without annual resets.

Observed research periods are not untouched out-of-sample data. Active means currently in use; it does not establish safety or strategy quality. Daily analytics use QuantStats; headline financial metrics retain PRO evidence. Current instrument constraints are applied retrospectively. Leveraged simulations do not model exchange liquidation. Calculation cutoff: 2026-10-16, exclusive.